What's the best cryptocurrency to invest in, long term? Why?

in #ethereum4 years ago (edited)

Ethereum has the best long-term potential of any cryptocurrency. Right now Bitcoin is still king, but I think Ethereum will become #1 in short order.

We can compare Ethereum to Bitcoin in the following charts:

Ethereum Transaction Growth Chart

N|Solid

There were 443k transactions on the Ethereum blockchain on 8/18/2017.
Here is a chart of the confirmed transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain.

Confirmed Transactions Per Day

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Which chart looks more bullish?

There are already almost half as many transactions on the Ethereum blockchain as the Bitcoin blockchain, and Ethereum is growing exponentially, while Bitcoin has reached its maximum capacity for now. Cryptocurrencies, like social networks, have extremely strong network effects. As the adoption of Ethereum continues to grow, its utility and value will grow exponentially..

As you can see from chart above, Bitcoin was experiencing rapid growth until the beginning of 2017. The following chart of the Bitcoin mempool will explain why the growth has flatlined.

Mempool Size

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Extremely bullish? Well in this case higher is not better. The mempool consists of all the data from Bitcoin transactions waiting to be confirmed. There is currently a backlog of almost 3,000,000 transactions! Bitcoin can only process a maximum of 7 transactions per second so it would take approximately 5 days to clear the backlog if no new transactions are made. Even though more and more people are introduced to Bitcoin every day, the network can’t handle any more transactions. Because of this, many developers have chosen to develop their apps on the Ethereum blockchain instead. In the case of Storj , they actually moved from the Bitcoin blockchain to the Ethereum blockchain because of the network congestion and high fees.

Even though the price of Ethereum has already appreciated significantly in 2017, there is still 10x, maybe even 100x long-term upside from current levels. Ethereum hasn’t come close to mainstream adoption yet, but there are hundreds, possibly thousands of applications in development. Many of these applications are focused on making Ethereum more accessible and user friendly. The world wide web was extremely inaccessible in the early days until Netscape came along and made it much easier for the general public to browse the internet. As the experience of browsing the web became much more accessible, usage exploded. Ethereum hasn’t had its “Netscape” yet, but it is in development. As these projects come online over the next few years, millions of people will be introduced to Ethereum, and the its value will skyrocket.

While the general public is just becoming aware of Ethereum, it already also has the backing of major global corporations. The recently formed Enterprise Ethereum Alliance consists of giants such as Intel, J.P. Morgan, and Microsoft. Since the EEA launched on Feb 28, 2017 they have received hundreds of new applications for membership. They are expected to announce the new members in the near future.

There will likely be some growing pains along the way, but Ethereum has a great development team. Ethereum’s founder, Vitalik Buterin is very well-respected and most people in the Ethereum community believe in his vision. Having a strong leader at this stage in development is extremely important because protocol upgrades can be much more easily implemented. Since Ethereum is a relatively new cryptocurrency, its developers have had the opportunity to learn from mistakes that Bitcoin and other earlier cryptocurrencies have made and have plans to preemptively solve them.

Here are some of the upgrades that are currently in development:

  • Scalability improvements - Raiden Network makes 1,000,000+ transfers per second possible. Ethereum can currently handle about 15 transactions per second, while Bitcoin is limited to around 7.
  • Anonymous transactions - Zk-SNARKs will dramatically improve privacy by enabling completely anonymous transactions.
  • Transition from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake - This will prevent miner centralization, protect against 51% attacks, and decrease the inflation rate.

The Ethereum protocol is continuously evolving, there are myriad applications in development, and the user base is exploding. I don’t expect there to be only one “winner”, but if I had to bet on one horse it would definitely be Ethereum.

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I agree etherium will over take btc it is better than btc it is more than just currency

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Bitcoin would win the war if it did the follwing things

  1. lower block time=
    https://www.coindesk.com/lower-bitcoin-block-time-scale/
  2. segwit=
  3. bigger blocks
  4. nodes getting paid(that will fix #3 so decentralisation can still happen)

Great post!

What's your thoughts on EOS? EOS sounds like an improved version of Ethereum, so it's tempting to think that EOS will take the position as the number one smart contract technology.

My problem with ETH is that because it is a more complex software, and because they "layer" other systems line Storj there is a much higher probability that there exist software bugs and security vulnerabilities that could be used to hack the currency. What I'm saying is that basically there are more vectors of attack available because of the type of blockchain software it is. Bitcoin however, has a much more secure software. The cyber security expert John McAfee even called the Bitcoin software "extremely secure" which is a big deal especially coming from him.

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