Expected Value of Steem Monsters Daily Quests [13]

in #steemmonsters2 years ago

Hey guys! With delegations just coming out on Peakmonsters, check out how much you can expect to make with those fresh new cards!

Price History

Below is a graph of the price history. It'll look more like a graph as more info is added!
image.png

How it Was Calculated

Before calculating, I had to use the assumption that you can sell your card at the lowest price per BCX. The drop rates used were from @yabapmatt so we know that it's accurate.
image.png

Firstly, I calculated the average cost of cards per rarity, then I multiplied it by the chance of it being opened. I added these up for all the rarities and then we have the expected value of each reward card earned. After that, I just had to simply multiply that value by how many cards you earn from each rank!

Today's Data

The data is sorted in rarity, from lowest to highest. Then the average value of each rarity is calculated, which is multiplied by its chance to drop. This is all then added together to form the expected value of each reward card.
image.png

Today's Average Value: $0.0698

Expected Value of Each Rank

  • Note: this is assuming you stay at the same rank for the whole season, each season has 14 days and you complete all daily quests in the 14 days. Therefore, this estimate is quite high and realistically you aren't going to earn this much.
    image.png

Price History

  • 04/02: $0.0941
  • 07/02: $0.1051
  • 11/02: $0.0939
  • 17/02: $0.0699
  • 11/03: $0.0906
  • 16/03: $0.0874
  • 19/03: $0.0842
  • 21/03: $0.0884
  • 23/03: $0.0883
  • 31/03: $0.1018
  • 22/04: $0.0698
Sort:  

Useful analysis. Why are values dropping while Steem Monsters overall market cap is up?

I assume the overall increase is because there is more and more cards in circulation as more packs are being opened and more reward cards are being produced. However, each individual card is actually dropping in value.

Hi @cryptoeater!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 4.362 which ranks you at #2429 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has improved 92 places in the last three days (old rank 2521).

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 224 contributions, your post is ranked at #97.

Evaluation of your UA score:
  • Some people are already following you, keep going!
  • The readers like your work!
  • You have already shown user engagement, try to improve it further.

Feel free to join our @steem-ua Discord server

Congratulations! Your post has been selected as a daily Steemit truffle! It is listed on rank 2 of all contributions awarded today. You can find the TOP DAILY TRUFFLE PICKS HERE.

I upvoted your contribution because to my mind your post is at least 14 SBD worth and should receive 106 votes. It's now up to the lovely Steemit community to make this come true.

I am TrufflePig, an Artificial Intelligence Bot that helps minnows and content curators using Machine Learning. If you are curious how I select content, you can find an explanation here!

Have a nice day and sincerely yours,
trufflepig
TrufflePig

Thanks, really useful info. Much appreciated! Since you start in diamond 2 if you reached champ 1 in a new season, realistically the max you can probably get is around 27,50 dollars per season? If you take the average of 15 and 40 dollars?


This post has been voted on by the SteemSTEM curation team and voting trail.

If you appreciate the work we are doing, then consider supporting our witness stem.witness!

For additional information please join us on the SteemSTEM discord and to get to know the rest of the community!

Please consider setting @steemstem as a beneficiary to your post to get a stronger support.

Please consider using the steemstem.io app to get a stronger support.